Empirical evaluation of exchange rate fluctuations on high-tech products export in Zhejiang Province

Chen Yong, Xie Wenwu
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Abstract

To evaluate the effects of exchange rate on high-tech products export, this paper applied the gravity model to a quantitative study of the impact of the exchange rate on the export of high-tech products in Zhejiang province, considering the nominal exchange rate and the real exchange rate fluctuations respectively. Based on the analysis of the data from 1998 to 2007, the results shows that the exchange rate fluctuations is positively correlated with high-tech products exports in Zhejiang Province, other conditions remain unchanged and the effects remain weak. Meanwhile, the test results also shows that the region's economic scale, national income and geographic distance also have a major influence on the export of high-tech products in Zhejiang Province.
汇率波动对浙江省高新技术产品出口影响的实证评价
为了评价汇率对高技术产品出口的影响,本文分别考虑名义汇率和实际汇率波动,运用引力模型定量研究了汇率对浙江省高技术产品出口的影响。通过对1998 - 2007年数据的分析,结果表明:汇率波动与浙江省高新技术产品出口呈正相关,其他条件不变,影响仍然较弱。同时,检验结果还表明,区域经济规模、国民收入和地理距离对浙江省高新技术产品出口也有重要影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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