Bias Correction for the Trade-Off Curve in the Tree-Ga Bump Hunting

Y. Aizawa, H. Hirose
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Abstract

The bump hunting, proposed by Friedman and Fisher, has become important in many fields such as marketing and medical fields, and etc. Among them, to answer the unresolved question of molecular heterogeneity and of tumoral phenotype in cancer, the local sparse bump hunting algorithm, such as CART (Classification and Regression Trees) and PRIM (Patient Rule Induction Method), is useful. In the bump hunting, we use the trade-off curve as a criterion such that the algorithm works effectively, instead of the misclassification rate in classification problems. The trade-off curve is constructed by finding the relation between the pureness rate and the capture rate. So far, we assessed the accuracy for the trade-off curve in typical fundamental cases that may be observed in real cases, and found that the proposed tree-GA can construct the effective trade-off curve. In addition, we investigated the prediction accuracy of the tree-GA by comparing the trade-off curve obtained by using the tree-GA with that obtained by using the PRIM, and found the superiority of the tree-GA over the PRIM when the sample size is large. In this paper, to focus on the sparse and small sample size cases observed in medical cases, we have investigated the typical fundamental cases using Monte Carlo simulations, and we found that the non-ignorable biases exist in the tree-GA. We have proposed a method here to remove such biases.
Tree-Ga凹凸搜索中权衡曲线的偏差校正
由Friedman和Fisher提出的bump hunting已经在市场营销和医学等许多领域发挥了重要作用。其中,为了回答尚未解决的癌症分子异质性和肿瘤表型问题,局部稀疏肿块搜索算法,如CART(分类与回归树)和PRIM(患者规则诱导法)是有用的。在肿块搜索中,我们使用权衡曲线作为算法有效工作的标准,而不是分类问题中的误分类率。通过寻找纯度和捕获率之间的关系,构造了权衡曲线。到目前为止,我们评估了在实际情况中可能观察到的典型基本情况下权衡曲线的准确性,发现所提出的树-遗传算法可以构建有效的权衡曲线。此外,通过比较树-遗传算法与PRIM算法得到的权衡曲线,考察了树-遗传算法的预测精度,发现在样本量较大时,树-遗传算法优于PRIM算法。在本文中,针对医学案例中观察到的稀疏和小样本情况,我们使用蒙特卡罗模拟研究了典型的基本案例,我们发现树-遗传算法中存在不可忽略的偏差。我们在这里提出了一种消除这种偏差的方法。
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