Life-Cycle Cost Analysis of Submarine Cable to Island Power Systems

Apirat Jamnian, K. Hongesombut, D. Rerkpreedapong
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Provincial Electricity Authority (PEA) has a submarine cable project to Koh Tao in Surat Thani Province, Thailand to increase the capacity, stability and support the growing demand for electricity in Koh Tao due to a high economic growth rate. At present, Koh Tao uses electricity from diesel power plants resulting in high costs in maintenance, fuel, and electricity, causing PEA to bear many losses each year. Investment in the construction of a distribution system linked by submarine cable is a project that uses a lot of investment cost in constructions and in each construction also affects the environment as well. Thus, there must be an effective method of calculating the investment value to ensure that the investment projects are appropriate and cost-effective throughout the life of the asset. This paper presents the analysis of the financial feasibility of the submarine cable project to ensure that it will have economic benefits and be effective throughout the asset utilization period with life-cycle cost analysis. In this paper, three alternatives are simulated, and the life-cycle cost (LCC) of all three alternatives are calculated. Then, the analysis is performed to find which options are worth the most investment. Common network asset indices methodology (CNAIM) is applied to determine the age of the submarine cable used in the project. In addition, this method can be used to find the probability of failure (PoF) of the submarine cable which is an important parameter and is used to calculate in the LCC model to achieve the purpose of this paper.
海岛电力系统海底电缆全寿命周期成本分析
省电力局(PEA)有一个通往泰国素叻他尼省Koh Tao的海底电缆项目,以提高容量、稳定性,并支持由于经济高速增长而不断增长的Koh Tao电力需求。目前,Koh Tao使用柴油发电厂的电力,导致维护,燃料和电力成本高昂,导致PEA每年承受许多损失。海底电缆连接配电系统的投资建设是一个投资成本很高的项目,而且每次建设都会对环境产生影响。因此,必须有一种有效的方法来计算投资价值,以确保投资项目在资产的整个生命周期内是适当的和具有成本效益的。本文采用全寿命周期成本分析方法,对海底光缆项目进行财务可行性分析,以确保其在资产使用期内具有经济效益和有效性。本文对三种方案进行了仿真,并计算了三种方案的生命周期成本。然后,进行分析以找出哪些选项最值得投资。采用通用网络资产指数法(CNAIM)确定项目中使用的海底电缆的使用年限。此外,该方法还可以用于寻找海底电缆的失效概率(PoF),这是一个重要的参数,并用于LCC模型的计算,以达到本文的目的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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