A prediction model for Yellow River break-up dates based on extenics data mining

Abstract

To predict the break-up date of the Yellow River, this paper analyzes a couple of factors contributing to the break-up date of the Yellow River, creates a forecast evaluation index system and builds an extenics data mining-based break-up date prediction model. The practical calculation shows that the next year prediction error is 0 and below 5% in two years. The model is feasible to predict the break-up date of the Yellow River.