Macroeconomic determinants of unemployment in Nepal

Khubi Ram Acharya
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Abstract

The relationship between unemployment and macroeconomic variables is complex, but it is generally accepted that increasing GDP, trade, and expansionary monetary policy lead to a decrease in the rate of unemployment. This paper tests this hypothesis for Nepal using time series data from 1991 to 2021 and a simple time series model. It is found that the increase in GDP, trade openness, money supply, and the rate of inflation decrease the unemployment rate in Nepal. These results have huge policy implications.
尼泊尔失业的宏观经济决定因素
失业和宏观经济变量之间的关系是复杂的,但人们普遍认为,GDP、贸易和扩张性货币政策的增加会导致失业率的下降。本文使用1991年至2021年的尼泊尔时间序列数据和一个简单的时间序列模型来检验这一假设。研究发现,国内生产总值、贸易开放度、货币供应量和通货膨胀率的增加降低了尼泊尔的失业率。这些结果具有巨大的政策含义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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