Economic sensitivity analysis for the improvement in the energy capture of wind turbine generator

Wonseok Yang, Chung Kyu Lee, Y. Jin
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Abstract

Recently, the installed capacity of wind power generators (WTGs) has significantly increased as an effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The current technology for a WTG may utilize only 80% of theoretically maximum wind energy, and thus, related studies have been conducted to maximize its electricity production. If the price of a WTG becomes expensive due to advanced technologies, the improved profitability of a wind plant project is not a natural outcome from the increased energy yield. However, the economic analysis related to the increased wind energy capture has not been sufficiently addressed. Therefore, in this study, we perform the economic sensitivity analysis for the improvement in the energy capture of a WTG. Specifically, we examine the decrease in the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) due to the increased energy production; then, we analyze the acceptable increase in the capital cost of a WTG in the view of economic feasibility. The results show that both the reduction in LCOE and the acceptable increase in the capital cost are linearly proportional to the percent increase in the energy production of a WTG. Further, it is found that the economic effect is possibly the best for time-of-use (TOU) electricity pricing scheme.
改进风力发电机组能量捕获的经济敏感性分析
最近,风力发电机(WTGs)的装机容量大幅增加,以减少温室气体排放。目前的WTG技术可能只利用了理论上最大风能的80%,因此,相关研究已经进行了最大化其发电量。如果WTG的价格由于先进的技术而变得昂贵,那么风力发电厂项目的盈利能力的提高就不是能源产量增加的自然结果。然而,与增加风能捕获有关的经济分析尚未得到充分解决。因此,在本研究中,我们对WTG能量捕获的改善进行了经济敏感性分析。具体而言,我们研究了由于能源产量增加而导致的能源平准化成本(LCOE)的下降;然后,从经济可行性的角度分析了WTG的可接受的资本成本增加。结果表明,LCOE的降低和可接受的资本成本的增加都与WTG的能源产量增加百分比成线性比例。此外,我们发现分时电价(TOU)方案的经济效果可能是最好的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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