FINANCIAL CONSTRAINTS: A MYTH OR REALITY? AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN STOCK EXCHANGE

Musarrat Karamat, S. Salahuddin, A. Javaid
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Abstract

Purpose of the study: This study investigates the stock pricing of financially constrained (FC) firms in Pakistan for the period of 20 years (2000 to 2019). The researcher uses accounting information (financial ratios of the firms) to categorize Pakistani firms as the most and least financially constrained firms. Further, it examines how the Asset Pricing models perform with the risk-adjusted portfolio of the stock returns sorted based on financial constraints. Methodology: Using the financial constraint proxies/ leverage ratios (Total Debt to Market Value(TDMV), Total Debt to Common Equity (TDC), Interest Coverage Ratio (ICR) and the asset pricing models of Sharpe (1964), Lintner (1965), and the three-factor and the five-factor model of Fama and French (1993, 1996), the returns of all the non-financial firms listed in PSX were sorted as the most and the least financially constraint firms and then their risk-adjusted portfolios were analyzed through Excel, Eviews and STATA. Main Findings: Positive results (e.g. higher returns) are observed when the capital structure of the FC firms is heavy with debt as compared to unconstrained firms on Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). The time series outcome showed that risk-adjusted returns of most FC firms give an extra premium to investors in the PSX when the leverage ratios are used as proxies of financial constraints. Applications of the study: This study can be used to make an augmented model of asset pricing specifically for emerging and frontier markets by taking the FC factor as one of the main contributing risk factors to predict returns in the equity market. Novelty/Originality of the study: The devised methodology also results in a more refined and accurate quality of analyses and findings and more comprehensive and sound knowledge of asset pricing as compare to previously conducted studies in PSX.
财政拮据:神话还是现实?来自巴基斯坦证券交易所的经验证据
研究目的:本研究调查了20年(2000年至2019年)巴基斯坦财务受限(FC)公司的股票定价。研究人员使用会计信息(公司的财务比率)将巴基斯坦公司分类为最受财务约束和最不受财务约束的公司。此外,它检查了资产定价模型如何执行基于财务约束排序的股票收益的风险调整组合。方法:使用财务约束代理/杠杆率(总债务对市场价值(TDMV)、总债务对普通股(TDC)、利息覆盖率(ICR)和Sharpe(1964)、Lintner(1965)的资产定价模型,以及Fama和French(1993,1996)的三因素和五因素模型,将所有在PSX上市的非金融企业的收益分成财务约束最大和财务约束最小的企业,然后通过Excel、Eviews和STATA对其风险调整后的投资组合进行分析。主要发现:与巴基斯坦证券交易所(PSX)的无约束公司相比,当FC公司的资本结构负债沉重时,观察到积极的结果(例如更高的回报)。时间序列结果表明,当杠杆率被用作财务约束的代理时,大多数FC公司的风险调整收益给PSX投资者带来额外的溢价。研究应用:本研究可以将FC因素作为股票市场收益预测的主要贡献风险因素之一,建立专门针对新兴和前沿市场的资产定价增强模型。研究的新颖性/原创性:与之前在PSX中进行的研究相比,设计的方法也导致了更精细和准确的分析和发现质量,以及更全面和健全的资产定价知识。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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