China's geopolitical design for East Asia: Taiwanese piece of the puzzle

Nenad Stekić
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Abstract

China's foreign and security policy preferences for East Asia are a multifaceted issue, with Taiwan playing a crucial role in this strategic puzzle. Beijing's claim over Taiwan as its integral part is a key component of its geopolitical strategy in East Asia and an important constituent of regional security dynamics. This paper aims to delve into China's patterns of such geopolitical design for East Asia, paying particular attention on Taiwan's place within the newly introduced Indo-Pacific and attempts at multilateral alignments in the region. Author offers arguments for China's East Asian "regionally tailored" policy and discusses potential strategic options ahead of Chinese leadership regarding US-led attempts to contain China geopolitically and militarily. In addition, the paper explores some Beijing's concrete military and foreign policy responses, including its military policy over the East China Sea Air Defence Identification Zone and consequences derived from recently adopted strategy titled Taiwan Issue and China's Unification in the New Era. Given Taiwan's pivotal geopolitical position in China's security policy, the paper assumes it will be one of the principal sites where the contest for the emerging world order will be waged between China and the United States. China's rise in the international system and the current politico-security tensions in the East Asian region as examples to argue that certain theoretical approaches, like the liberal Hegemonic Stability Theory, may no longer hold true. It is because international system is moving towards institutional separation into parallel entities, which could be a significant shift from the system that emerged after the Second World War.
中国对东亚的地缘政治设计:台湾拼图
中国对东亚的外交和安全政策偏好是一个多方面的问题,台湾在这个战略难题中扮演着至关重要的角色。北京声称台湾是其不可分割的一部分,是其东亚地缘政治战略的关键组成部分,也是地区安全动态的重要组成部分。本文旨在深入探讨中国对东亚的地缘政治设计模式,特别关注台湾在新引入的印度太平洋地区的地位以及在该地区建立多边联盟的尝试。作者为中国的东亚“地区量身定制”政策提供了论据,并讨论了中国领导人在美国领导下试图在地缘政治和军事上遏制中国之前的潜在战略选择。此外,本文还探讨了北京的一些具体军事和外交政策回应,包括其在东海防空识别区的军事政策,以及最近通过的名为“台湾问题和新时代中国统一”的战略所产生的后果。鉴于台湾在中国安全政策中的关键地缘政治地位,本文认为台湾将成为中美两国争夺新兴世界秩序的主要地点之一。中国在国际体系中的崛起和当前东亚地区的政治安全紧张局势都是证明某些理论方法,如自由主义的霸权稳定理论,可能不再成立的例子。这是因为国际体系正朝着机构分离成平行实体的方向发展,这可能是与第二次世界大战后出现的体系相比的重大转变。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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