Taming the Leviathan - A New Approach to Risk for the Military Leader

Chris Bowen
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Abstract

Military operations involve risk. A central question for military leaders is whether they have the tools available to them to deal with risk. Part of the leader’s risk toolbox is the training and education they receive. However the military leader is not exposed to formal training and education modules that specifically address risk. With a lack of formal risk doctrine and training in the CF, the leader may use narrowly defined and inconsistent engineering risk processes or high level generic frameworks that are not easy to standardize, track, understand, or apply. The result may be shallow analysis, poor management, unclear communication and poor decisions involving risk. To address these issues, this paper will first examine some weaknesses of selected risk management processes. A wider understanding of risk will then be developed by other perspectives using philosophical, psychological and sociological theories as a basis for discussion. Finally the paper develops its comprehensive risk approach by layering these wider though processes on top of the common risk management methodologies.
驯服利维坦——军事领导人应对风险的新方法
军事行动涉及风险。军事领导人面临的一个核心问题是,他们是否拥有应对风险的可用工具。领导者的风险工具箱的一部分是他们接受的培训和教育。然而,军事领导人没有接触到专门针对风险的正式培训和教育模块。由于在CF中缺乏正式的风险原则和培训,领导者可能会使用定义狭窄且不一致的工程风险过程或高级通用框架,这些框架不容易标准化、跟踪、理解或应用。结果可能是肤浅的分析、糟糕的管理、不清晰的沟通以及涉及风险的糟糕决策。为了解决这些问题,本文将首先检查所选风险管理过程的一些弱点。对风险的更广泛的理解将通过使用哲学、心理学和社会学理论作为讨论基础的其他观点来发展。最后,本文通过将这些更广泛的过程分层到常见的风险管理方法之上,开发了其综合风险方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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