Efeitos do pregão eletrônico sobre a eficiência e a volatilidade condicional no mercado de ações brasileiro

L. Maciel, R. Ballini
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Abstract

Stock exchange automation, characterized by the replacement of floor trading systems by electronic trading systems, is one of the main restructuring processes observed in global capital markets in recent decades. This paper investigates the effects of automation in the São Paulo Stock Exchange (B3), which adopted an electronic trading system in October 2005. Empirical analysis of the Bovespa index rejects the random walk hypothesis for the periods before and after B3 automation, and provides evidence of distinct volatility regimes. After automation, there is an increase in the linear dependence of IBovespa returns, suggesting a negative effect of automation on the Brazilian stock market’s efficiency. On the other hand, in the same period, there is evidence for a reduction in the long-term persistence of conditional volatility, in response to shocks to returns.
电子交易对巴西股票市场效率和条件波动的影响
以电子交易系统取代场内交易系统为特征的证券交易所自动化,是近几十年来全球资本市场观察到的主要重组过程之一。本文研究了在2005年10月采用电子交易系统的圣保罗证券交易所(B3)自动化的影响。对Bovespa指数的实证分析拒绝了B3自动化前后的随机游走假设,并提供了明显波动机制的证据。自动化后,IBovespa收益的线性依赖性增加,表明自动化对巴西股市效率产生了负面影响。另一方面,在同一时期,有证据表明,作为对回报冲击的回应,长期持续的有条件波动有所减少。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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