EFFECT OF AGRICULTURAL AND NON-AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IVORY COAST

P. Kouakou
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to assess, empirically, the effects of agricultural and non-agricultural exports on economic growth in Ivory Coast. The data used are those of the World Bank (World Development Indicators) and the Central Bank of West African States and cover the period from 1985 to 2015. The analysis of the data required the use of the AutoRegressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). It emerges from the study that the agricultural exports have positive and significant effects on the Gross Domestic Product. However, this rate appears to be increasingly weak in long term. On the other hand, the non-agricultural exports have a positive but not significant effect on economic growth in short term. Nevertheless, in the long run, they improve the country's economic performance. Moreover, the Gross Fixed Capital Formation stimulates the economic wealth generation. Finally, the trade openness negatively affects the economic development. Therefore, the Ivorian government, while giving priority to improving the competitiveness of export products, must apply a diversification policy in order to reduce the risks of deterioration in the terms of trade.
农业和非农业出口对象牙海岸经济增长的影响
本文的目的是评估,经验,农业和非农业出口对科特迪瓦经济增长的影响。使用的数据是世界银行(世界发展指标)和西非国家中央银行的数据,涵盖1985年至2015年期间。数据分析需要使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)。研究表明,农产品出口对国内生产总值有显著的正向影响。然而,从长期来看,这一比率似乎越来越弱。另一方面,非农产品出口在短期内对经济增长有积极但不显著的影响。然而,从长远来看,它们改善了国家的经济表现。此外,总固定资本形成刺激经济财富的产生。最后,贸易开放对经济发展有负面影响。因此,科特迪瓦政府在优先考虑提高出口产品的竞争力的同时,必须实行多样化政策,以减少贸易条件恶化的风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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