Does Economic Growth Mediate Investment, Inflation, and Human Development Investment on Poverty in Indonesia?

Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Pub Date : 2022-10-06 DOI:10.15408/sjie.v11i2.26145

Agam Fitriady, Vivi Silvia, S. Suriani

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Abstract

Poverty is a classic yet interesting topic of discussion because the problem of poverty has not been solved. This study analyzed the role of economic growth in mediating the effects of investment, inflation, and Human Development Investment (HDI) on poverty in Indonesia. Using the multiple regression method of path analysis and the data from 32 provinces in Indonesia, the results showed that investment had a positive effect on economic growth and poverty, but inflation had no effect on economic growth and poverty while HDI had a positive effect on economic growth but a negative effect on poverty. Economic growth mediated the effect of investment and HDI, but not the effect of inflation on poverty. Hence, it can be said that it is not enough for the government to only prioritize economic growth, optimal investment, a higher level of HDI, and a stable inflation rate. They must also strive to reduce inequality between regions, support labour-intensive, well-targeted and direct investments in the real sector, and involve all stakeholders to achieve an effective and efficient national development in the context of poverty reduction.How to Cite:Fitriady, A., Silvia, V., & Suriani. (2022). Does Economic Growth Mediate Investment, Inflation, and Human Development Investment on Poverty in Indonesia? Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 11(2), 437-456. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v11i2.26145.JEL Classification: C33, E22, O11

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经济增长是否对印尼的投资、通货膨胀和人类发展投资起到中介作用?

贫困是一个经典而有趣的讨论话题，因为贫困问题尚未得到解决。本研究分析了经济增长在印度尼西亚投资、通货膨胀和人类发展投资(HDI)对贫困的中介效应中的作用。采用路径分析的多元回归方法，结合印尼32个省的数据，结果表明:投资对经济增长和贫困有正向影响，而通货膨胀对经济增长和贫困没有影响;HDI对经济增长有正向影响，对贫困有负向影响。经济增长对投资和人类发展指数的影响有中介作用，但对通货膨胀对贫困的影响没有中介作用。因此，我们可以说，仅仅以经济增长、最优投资、较高的HDI水平和稳定的通货膨胀率为优先是不够的。它们还必须努力减少区域之间的不平等，支持对实体部门进行劳动密集型、目标明确的直接投资，并让所有利益攸关方参与进来，在减贫的背景下实现有效和高效的国家发展。如何引用:菲特里亚迪，A，西尔维娅，V，和苏里亚尼。(2022)。经济增长是否对印尼的投资、通货膨胀和人类发展投资起到中介作用?意义[j] .经济研究，11(2)，437-456。https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v11i2.26145.JEL分类:C33, E22, O11

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Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi

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