Covid-19 and Iraq: The exponential epidemic

H. Al-kuraishy, Ali I. Al-Gareeb, M. Monteiro, Heiam N. Hussein
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) epidemic, which originated in Wuhan, China, has now extended to more than 200 countries and administrative regions infecting nearly 36,792,906 individuals of all ages as of 9 October 2020. Many of these articles pursue to investigate the epidemiological parameters of the disease at different locations to disseminate critical information among both modellers and policymakers for a timely control response to be implemented. Iraq has had 394,566 confirmed cases with 9,683 deaths according to the last update registration of Iraq Ministry of Health. In the infected region, despite unusual efforts to limit the movement of people at the expense of the Iraqi economy, we are dealing with an even greater fear that the number of patients who present to the emergency room will become much greater than the system can cope with. Finally, our analysis tends to suggest that measures to reduce transmission should certainly be implemented, as our government did on March 9, by inhibiting people’s movement and social activities, unless strictly required. The most effective way to contain this viral outbreak in Iraq is probably to avoid close contact at the individual level and social meetings.
2019冠状病毒病与伊拉克:指数流行病
2019冠状病毒病(Covid-19)疫情起源于中国武汉,截至2020年10月9日,疫情已蔓延至200多个国家和行政区域,感染了近36,792,906名不同年龄的人。其中许多文章致力于调查不同地点疾病的流行病学参数,以便在建模者和决策者之间传播关键信息,以便及时实施控制反应。根据伊拉克卫生部最近的最新登记,伊拉克有394,566例确诊病例,其中9,683例死亡。在受感染地区,尽管采取了不同寻常的努力,以牺牲伊拉克经济为代价限制人员流动,但我们面临着一种更大的担忧,即到急诊室就诊的病人数量将远远超过该系统的处理能力。最后,我们的分析倾向于表明,除非严格要求,否则当然应该像我国政府在3月9日所做的那样,通过限制人员流动和社会活动来实施减少传播的措施。在伊拉克控制这种病毒爆发的最有效方法可能是避免个人层面的密切接触和社交会议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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