أثر سيادة القانون على مؤشر أسعار الأسهم في بورصة عمان (الأردن): دراسة قياسية (1998-2017)

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate the impact of Rule of Law on the stocks’ price index in Amman Stock Exchange over the period (1998-2017). Several diagnostic tests have been applied, such as Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) for stationarity. The results have shown that the time series of the real interest rate is stationary at its levels, i.e. I (0), whereas the stocks' price index, indirect foreign investment, and rule of law are stationary at their first differences, i.e. I (1). While the real GDP is found to be stationary at the second difference, i.e. I (2). Vector autoregression model (VAR) is used in estimation. The study utilized two major tools for analysis: Variance Decomposition and Impulse Response Function. The study found a positive impact of the rule of law on the stocks’ price index in Amman Stock Exchange. Based on the findings, the study recommended the need to implement laws and regulations to improve the stocks’ price index in Amman Stock Exchange in Jordan. Keywords: Rule of Law, Stocks’ price index, Jordan.