The Impact of Globalization on Manufacturing Output in Nigeria

Osman Nuri Aras, A. Odebode
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Abstract

Nigerian government has put in considerable effort at improve bilateral relation in the economy; its net effect is yet unclear. This raises concerns about the tradeoff benefit between trade openness as a proxy to globalization and contributions to the manufacturing output in Nigeria. Using structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) approaches, from 2010Q1 to 2018Q4, the findings reveal that manufacturing output and transportation responded significantly to the foreign shocks emanating from globalization. The study established that the manufacturing output reacted negatively to exchange rate fluctuations, implying that exchange rate is very important to manufacturing sector in Nigeria. On the same vein, transportation, financial integration and globalization respectively were affected positively and significantly by exchange rate fluctuations to manufacturing sector.
全球化对尼日利亚制造业产出的影响
尼日利亚政府为改善双边经济关系付出了相当大的努力;其净影响尚不清楚。这引起了人们对贸易开放作为全球化的代表和对尼日利亚制造业产出的贡献之间权衡利益的担忧。利用结构向量自回归(SVAR)方法,从2010年第一季度到2018年第四季度,研究结果表明,制造业产出和运输对全球化产生的外部冲击有显著响应。研究表明,制造业产出对汇率波动的反应是消极的,这意味着汇率对尼日利亚制造业非常重要。同样,交通运输、金融一体化和全球化分别受到汇率波动对制造业的积极和重大影响。
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