A Simulation Model of Engineering Construction Near-miss Event Disclosure Strategy Based on Evolutionary Game Theory

Abstract

In the field of construction engineering, the concealment reporting problem in the initial stage of near-miss event management seriously hinders its subsequent management. In order to analyze the game relationship between the front-line safety managers and the near-miss event reporters of the same project company in the near-miss event concealment reporting problem, this paper constructs a manager-reporter evolutionary game model and uses VensimPLE to build a system simulation model for the study. In this paper, the real situation is abstracted into an evolutionary game model, and each parameter in the model is logically analyzed and quantitatively assigned a value. Then, the software is used to simulate the changes of manager's supervision probability and reporter's concealment probability under different initial strategy combinations, and through the analysis of the simulation results, the strategy changes under different initial strategy settings are obtained, so as to provide theoretical selection basis for near-miss event managers to formulate supervision strategies and set the frequency of supervision.