The Inflation of Black Crime Statistics: Age-Adjusted Rates Paint a More Accurate Picture

Abstract

This study exposes how traditional murder rate statistics misleadingly inflate the black murder rate. This is due to the shorter life expectancy of blacks which results in disproportionate numbers in younger age groups where the majority of criminal perpetrators are located. This first-of-its-kind research demonstrates that when age disparities are adjusted for, crime rate disparities between blacks and whites are reduced by 28%. This is significant because misleading crime statistics are often presented as evidence to justify policing practices that disproportionately affect blacks. Also discussed is the role politicians and the media play in disseminating racial distortions regarding crime. Additionally, potential explanations are provided for why misleading non-age-adjusted murder rates are used. Finally, potential explanations for an unexpected finding of the research are examined, which helps illuminate the race and crime connection more broadly.