Risk analysis of residential broadband upgrade based on market evolution and competition

Abstract

The paper presents risk and techno-economic analyses of broadband access network upgrade strategies for public network operators and cable operators in a competitive environment in the residential and small business market. The effect of uncertainties in predictions of critical parameters such as demand forecasts and market shares are analysed. The assessed technology options include broadband twisted pair modems, hybrid fibre coax networks and ATM-based passive optical networks.