Dividend Policy Implementation Modeling Within Neutral Approach Conditions As Analysis and Forecasting Instrument

S. Krylov
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Abstract

The article treats a concept of the formalized modeling of the dividend policy scores and company marketing performance scores derived (stock market position) within neutral dividend policy implementation approach conditions as an instrument of the scores analysis and forecasting. The methodology of the research consists of the Dividend Irrelevance theory, Dividend Policy Significance theory and sustainable company development concept. It has been stated that a formalized approach of the dividend policy implementation presumes a construction of the basic relevent scores models characterizing the company dividend policy and its marketing performance as Dividend Payout, Dividend Cover, expected Share Price, Dividend Yield, Price / Earnings Ratio (common stock price/earnings ratio). The formalized models of the scores mentioned are applicable for a forecast-analytical scores evaluation and their variances as well by estimating an impact of the models defining factors exercised by the appropriate factoring analysis method within the neutral dividend policy implementation approach conditions. The conclusion is drawn, that the formalized models of the dividend policy scores and company marketing performance scores derived, having been developed, are an effective instrument for their forecasting and analysis so that proactive decisions to manage the company dividend policy implementation within neutral approach conditions are ensured.
中性方法条件下股利政策实施模型分析与预测工具
本文将中性股息政策实施方法条件下的股息政策得分和公司营销绩效得分(股票市场地位)的形式化建模概念作为分数分析和预测的工具。本文的研究方法包括股利不相关理论、股利政策意义理论和公司可持续发展理念。已经指出,股利政策实施的形式化方法假定构建基本相关评分模型,将公司股利政策及其营销绩效表征为股息支付,股息覆盖率,预期股价,股息收益率,市盈率(普通股价格/市盈率)。上述分数的形式化模型适用于预测分析分数评价及其方差,也适用于在中性股息政策实施方法条件下,通过适当的因子分析方法估计模型定义因素的影响。得出的结论是,已开发的股息政策得分和公司营销绩效得分的形式化模型是预测和分析的有效工具,从而确保在中性方法条件下管理公司股息政策实施的主动决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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