The Impact of International Migration, Immigration and Human Development Index on Economic Growth (A Case Study of Afghanistan)

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Abstract

Today, Migration is one of the most common phenomena in Afghanistan. Undoubtedly, migration is not free of economic effects. Labor is one of the inputs of production and human capital is the main reason for economic growth and development of a country. The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of international migration, migration and human development index on economic growth in Afghanistan. For this purpose, annual data of Afghanistan during the time period of (2003-2017) were investigated by using the Autoregressive-Distributed Lag (ARDL) method. The results show that in the short and long term, the human development index has a positive and significant effect on economic growth and the increase of the country's immigrants has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Also, the increase in the number of out-migration has a negative and significant effect on economic growth, although no significant relationship was found in the long run.
国际移民、移民和人类发展指数对经济增长的影响(以阿富汗为例)
今天,移民是阿富汗最常见的现象之一。毫无疑问,移民并非没有经济影响。劳动力是生产的投入之一,人力资本是一个国家经济增长和发展的主要原因。本研究的目的是探讨国际移民、移民和人类发展指数对阿富汗经济增长的影响。为此,采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法对2003-2017年期间阿富汗的年度数据进行了调查。研究结果表明,从短期和长期来看,人类发展指数对经济增长都有正显著的影响,国家移民的增加对经济增长都有正显著的影响。此外,外迁人数的增加对经济增长有显著的负面影响,尽管从长期来看没有发现显著的关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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