MODERNIZATION OF THE STAGES OF ECONOMIC AND MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF COMPONENT INVESTMENT POTENTIAL OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION OF UKRAINE

Iryna Maslyuk, H. Maslyuk
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Abstract

Abstract. The article analyzes the conceptual foundations for modeling the development of the components of the investment potential of agricultural production, which make it possible to comprehensively evaluate the relevant indicators in order to timely determine, for agricultural entities, priority investment-attractive innovative projects for the future development of the production sphere.It also reflects the development of forecasting models among the mathematical and economic apparatus, which are based on the determination of the stochastic relationship between indicators of trend and cluster analysis, methods of non-equilibrium statistical mechanics, models of synergistic and differentiated equations of the logistic type, integral methods, etc. The article develops a classification of criteria for the effectiveness of organizational and economic state regulation of agricultural production.For the analysis of factors, a list of external factors that influence the emergence of structural changes in agricultural production of Ukraine, determining the degree of importance, strength of influence and its direction, based on expert assessment, was formulated. Factors that affect the effectiveness of agricultural production are systematized according to the relevant groups: the level of support through special regimes and mechanisms of taxation, the share of capital investments provided in their total volume to agricultural production, the dynamics of foreign investments, the share of bank loans provided in their total volume.The scientific approach to assessing the effectiveness of state regulation of the development of the investment potential of agricultural production has been improved, based on a combination of deductive and inductive approaches that reflect analytical and synthetic aspects of the analysis and ensure coverage of all aspects of the investment activity of agricultural entities
现代化阶段的经济和数学模型的发展组成部分投资潜力的乌克兰农业生产
摘要本文分析了农业生产投资潜力组成部分发展建模的概念基础,从而可以对相关指标进行综合评价,从而及时为农业主体确定未来生产领域发展的优先招商创新项目。它还反映了数学和经济工具中预测模型的发展,这些模型是基于趋势指标与聚类分析之间的随机关系的确定、非平衡统计力学方法、logistic型的协同和微分方程模型、积分方法等。本文对农业生产的组织和经济国家调控有效性的标准进行了分类。在分析因素方面,制定了一份影响乌克兰农业生产出现结构性变化的外部因素清单,根据专家评估确定了影响程度、影响强度及其方向。影响农业生产效率的因素按有关群体加以系统化:通过特别制度和税收机制提供的支助水平、在其总量中提供给农业生产的资本投资的份额、外国投资的动态、在其总量中提供的银行贷款的份额。在演绎和归纳相结合的基础上,改进了评估国家对发展农业生产投资潜力的监管有效性的科学方法,这些方法反映了分析的分析和综合方面,并确保涵盖农业实体投资活动的所有方面
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