Application of Event Chain Methodology in Schedule Risk Analysis

Goran Avlijaš, M. Radunović
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Risk management has become one of the key components of successful project management, and quantitative risk analysis an indispensable ingredient of successful decision process. Although academics proposed numerous methods and techniques that determine the probability and impact of project risks, just a few have earned wider application in practice. This paper aims to bring the practitioners closer to event chain methodology, as one of the recent project risk modeling techniques that can simplify and improve accuracy of existing methods at the same time. Theoretical part emphasizes the significance of managing the risk events and event chains that affect projects every day, while practical demonstration and case study approach give insights in capability of event chain methodology and its value in real life situation.
事件链方法在进度风险分析中的应用
风险管理已成为成功的项目管理的关键组成部分之一,定量风险分析是成功的决策过程不可或缺的组成部分。虽然学者们提出了许多方法和技术来确定项目风险的概率和影响,但只有少数在实践中得到了更广泛的应用。事件链方法是最近出现的一种项目风险建模技术,它可以简化现有方法并提高其准确性,本文旨在使从业者更接近事件链方法。理论部分强调了管理每天影响项目的风险事件和事件链的重要性,而实践演示和案例研究方法则揭示了事件链方法的能力及其在现实生活中的价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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