The Fox News Effect: Media Bias and Voting

Stefano DellaVigna, E. Kaplan
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引用次数: 1512

Abstract

Does media bias affect voting? We analyze the entry of Fox News in cable markets and its impact on voting. Between October 1996 and November 2000, the conservative Fox News Channel was introduced in the cable programming of 20 percent of US towns. Fox News availability in 2000 appears to be largely idiosyncratic, conditional on a set of controls. Using a data set of voting data for 9,256 towns, we investigate if republicans gained vote share in towns where Fox News entered the cable market by the year 2000. We find a significant effect of the introduction of Fox News on the vote share in Presidential elections between 1996 and 2000. Republicans gained 0.4 to 0.7 percentage points in the towns which broadcast Fox News. Fox News also a􀀎ected the Republican vote share in the Senate and voter turnout. Our estimates imply that Fox News convinced 3 to 28 percent of its viewers to vote Republican, depending on the audience measure. The Fox News effect could be a temporary learning effect for rational voters, or a permanent effect for non-rational voters subject to persuasion.
福克斯新闻效应:媒体偏见和投票
媒体偏见会影响投票吗?我们分析了福克斯新闻进入有线电视市场及其对投票的影响。从1996年10月到2000年11月,保守的福克斯新闻频道进入了美国20%的城镇的有线电视节目。2000年福克斯新闻的可用性似乎很大程度上是特殊的,以一系列控制为条件。使用9256个城镇的投票数据集,我们调查了在2000年福克斯新闻进入有线电视市场的城镇,共和党人是否获得了投票份额。我们发现福克斯新闻的引入对1996年至2000年总统选举中的投票份额有显著影响。在播放福克斯新闻的城镇,共和党人的支持率上升了0.4到0.7个百分点。福克斯新闻还报道了􀀎ected共和党在参议院的投票份额和选民投票率。我们的估计表明,福克斯新闻说服了3%到28%的观众投票给共和党,这取决于观众的衡量标准。“福克斯新闻效应”对理性选民来说可能是暂时的学习效应,对非理性选民来说则可能是长期的影响。
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