Impact of Digital Economy Development on Industrial Structure Upgrading--Based on Two-way Fixed Effects Model Analysis

Jinliang Li
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Abstract

 Digital economy is an important engine for building a modernized economic system. Through new generation information technology, it improves the operation efficiency of industrial chain and expands the innovation space of industrial chain, thus helping to upgrade the industrial structure. Based on the balanced panel data of 30 provincial administrative regions in China from 2012 to 2020, a two-way fixed effects regression model is constructed to empirically test and explore the impact of digital economy development on industrial structure upgrading. It is found that: Digital economy development can significantly promote industrial structure upgrading, and the conclusion still holds after a series of robustness tests. The promotion effect of digital economy development on industrial structure upgrading is regionally heterogeneous and social consumption level heterogeneous, which can significantly promote industrial structure upgrading in western and low social consumption level regions, but not in eastern, central and high social consumption level regions. Accordingly, policy suggestions are made in three aspects: vigorously developing digital economy, formulating regional differentiated digital economy development policies, and coordinating the relationship between consumption upgrading and supply side
数字经济发展对产业结构升级的影响——基于双向固定效应模型分析
数字经济是建设现代化经济体系的重要引擎。通过新一代信息技术,提高了产业链的运行效率,拓展了产业链的创新空间,有利于产业结构升级。基于2012 - 2020年中国30个省级行政区的均衡面板数据,构建双向固定效应回归模型,实证检验和探讨数字经济发展对产业结构升级的影响。研究发现:数字经济发展对产业结构升级具有显著促进作用,经过一系列稳健性检验,结论仍然成立。数字经济发展对产业结构升级的促进作用具有区域异质性和社会消费水平异质性,西部和社会消费水平低的地区对产业结构升级有显著促进作用,而东部、中部和社会消费水平高的地区对产业结构升级没有显著促进作用。据此,从大力发展数字经济、制定区域差别化数字经济发展政策、协调消费升级与供给侧关系三个方面提出政策建议
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