7. The Singularity

M. Boden
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Abstract

AI’s future has been hyped since its inception. Today, the prime example is the Singularity: the proposed point in time at which machines become more intelligent than humans. First, AI would reach human-level intelligence. Soon afterwards, AGI would morph into ASI—‘S’ for superhuman, with systems intelligent enough to copy themselves to outnumber us and improve themselves to out-think us. The most important problems and decisions would then be addressed by computers. ‘The Singularity’ explains that this notion is hugely contentious. It considers competing predictions, concluding that even if the probability of the Singularity is extremely small, the possible consequences are so grave that we should start taking precautions now.
7. 奇点
人工智能的未来从一开始就被大肆宣传。今天,最典型的例子是奇点:即机器变得比人类更聪明的时间点。首先,人工智能将达到人类的智力水平。不久之后,AGI将演变成ASI -“S”,即超人,拥有足够智能的系统,可以自我复制,在数量上超过我们,并改进自己,在思维上超过我们。最重要的问题和决策将由计算机来处理。《奇点》解释说,这个概念是非常有争议的。它考虑了相互竞争的预测,得出的结论是,即使奇点发生的可能性非常小,其可能的后果也非常严重,以至于我们现在应该开始采取预防措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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