Comparative Research on Electricity Consumption Forecast Based on Deep Learning

Qian Gao, Yunyun Liu, Junyi Yang, Yu Hong
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In order to save unnecessary energy losses, power companies need to accurately predict electricity consumption. Various classification methods are used for electricity consumption forecasting: traditional time series models, deep neural network models based on Artificial Intelligence, and hybrid models. Most scholars use a single view to forecast electricity consumption. This article predicts electricity consumption from three views: traditional models, deep neural network models, and hybrid models. First, the electricity consumption time series is preprocessed. Then, from three views, models that have achieved good performance in some time series are selected, and then the forecast analysis of the model is given. Finally, the performance of different models in electricity consumption forecasting is evaluated and compared. The results show that the expected performance of the hybrid model is not as good as the traditional model and the deep neural network model in electricity consumption forecasting.
基于深度学习的用电量预测比较研究
为了避免不必要的能源损失,电力公司需要准确预测用电量。电力消费预测采用了多种分类方法:传统的时间序列模型、基于人工智能的深度神经网络模型和混合模型。大多数学者使用单一的观点来预测电力消耗。本文从传统模型、深度神经网络模型和混合模型三种角度对用电量进行预测。首先,对电力消耗时间序列进行预处理。然后,从三个方面选择在某个时间序列上表现较好的模型,并对模型进行预测分析。最后,对不同模型在电力消费预测中的性能进行了评价和比较。结果表明,混合模型在电力消费预测中的预期性能不如传统模型和深度神经网络模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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