The Multi-horizon Exchange Rate Exposure of Consumer Products and Services Sector in Malaysia

Hishamuddin Abdul Wahab, Nurul Afaaf Mohd. Nasir
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Abstract

After the abolishment of fixed exchange regime under the Bretton Woods System in 1970s, the issue of foreign exchange risk expecially among multinational corporations operating under small and open economies of Malaysia remains relevant till today. According to Abdul Wahab et al. (2017) and Adler and Dumas (1984), exchange rate exposure refers to the extent of firm's sensitivity to exchange rate fluctuations. While there has been growing interest in examining foreign exchange risk incidence under Malaysia market, however limited studies have been focusing on single sector of consumer products and services in Malaysia. Under Bursa Malaysia, the sector consists of several sub-fields including agricultural products, automotive, food and beverages, household goods, personal goods, retailers and travel and leisure services. Given the wide range of products and services, the corporations under the sector have been involved in vigorous cross-border trading activities. The consumer products and services equities become the second largest sector in Bursa Malaysia which constitues 15.89% of total stocks in main market of Bursa Malaysia in July 2021 with a 265.02 billion of total market capitalization. In terms of methodological issue, the study addresses on the bias in exchange risk pricing in previous studies. Specifically, majority of past studies assume homogeneity of exchange risk across time domains which seems to be unrealistic. Capital market contains wide range of participants with heterogenous investment holdings and expectations. To address time domain bias, the study adopts Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transformation (MODWT) in foreign exchange risk pricing to decompose a single time domain series into multiple time domains. Given this, the primary objective of the study is to examine the extent of multi-horizon foreign exchange exposure of consumer products and services sector in Malaysia from January 2000 till December 2020. Keywords: Currency Exposure, Wavalet Technique, MODWT, Malaysian Consumer Sector
马来西亚消费品和服务业的多重汇率风险敞口
在1970年代废除布雷顿森林体系下的固定汇率制度后,外汇风险问题,特别是在马来西亚小而开放的经济下经营的跨国公司的外汇风险问题,直到今天仍然存在。Abdul Wahab et al.(2017)和Adler and Dumas(1984)认为,汇率风险敞口是指企业对汇率波动的敏感程度。虽然人们对审查马来西亚市场下的外汇风险发生率越来越感兴趣,但有限的研究主要集中在马来西亚消费产品和服务的单一部门。在马来西亚证券交易所,该行业包括几个子领域,包括农产品、汽车、食品和饮料、家庭用品、个人用品、零售商以及旅游和休闲服务。由于产品和服务范围广泛,该部门旗下的公司一直积极参与跨境贸易活动。消费品和服务类股票成为马来西亚交易所的第二大板块,截至2021年7月,占马来西亚交易所主要市场总股票的15.89%,总市值为2650.2亿美元。在方法问题上,本研究解决了以往研究中存在的汇率风险定价偏差。具体而言,过去的大多数研究假设跨时间域的外汇风险具有同质性,这似乎是不现实的。资本市场包含了广泛的参与者,他们的投资持有和预期都是异质的。为了解决时域偏倚问题,本研究在外汇风险定价中采用最大重叠离散小波变换(MODWT)将单个时域序列分解为多个时域。鉴于此,本研究的主要目的是研究2000年1月至2020年12月马来西亚消费品和服务部门的多重外汇敞口程度。关键词:货币敞口,小波技术,MODWT,马来西亚消费部门
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