Racial Geography, Economic Growth and Natural Disaster Resilience

Huiping Li, Steven Fern, Ez
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引用次数: 8

Abstract

National Response Plans have emphasized the need for interoperability of plans, systems, technology, and command structures. However, much less emphasis has been placed on equally important at-risk populations’ response to those plans. This study attempts to characterize the impact on resilience (recovery) of metropolitan areas by the presence (or absence) of separate small communities within a larger jurisdiction. We tested the hypothesis that urban areas composed of aggregation of smaller, self-contained communities experience slower recovery from natural disasters than more integrated communities as part of an overall effort to define and build resilience to natural disasters. A resilience index was created following the Political, Security, Economic, Social, Infrastructure, and Informational (PMESII) framework, and was tested using the socioeconomic data from Katrina-affected areas in Mississippi and Louisiana. A correlation analysis then investigated the relationship between racial geography, economic growth and natural disaster resilience. Results indicate the existence of segregated micro ethnic communities negatively correlates with resilience, and that economic capability correlates positively. The positive correlation coefficients of the total number of general-purpose government and the total general revenue per capita of county governments with the resilience indices suggest the importance of government involvement and government capacity in resilience construction. Neither the intergovernmental transferred revenue nor the general revenue from total tax significantly correlated with the resilience indices, implying that both the financial assistance from federal and state government and the fiscal revenue supported by the private economy are vital. The quantitative indicators of natural disaster resilience provide guidance for vulnerable communities to improve their processes. We hope to provide insights to improve future plans by policymakers developing comprehensive plans to build resilient communities and examine the relationship between racial geography, economic growth and restoration of essential socioeconomic activities.
种族地理、经济增长与自然灾害恢复能力
国家应对计划强调了计划、系统、技术和指挥结构的互操作性。然而,对同样重要的高危人群对这些计划的反应却重视得少得多。本研究试图通过在更大的管辖范围内存在(或不存在)独立的小社区来描述对大都市地区弹性(恢复)的影响。我们测试了这样一个假设,即在定义和建立抵御自然灾害能力的整体努力中,由较小的、自给自足的社区聚集而成的城市地区从自然灾害中恢复的速度比更一体化的社区慢。韧性指数是根据政治、安全、经济、社会、基础设施和信息(PMESII)框架创建的,并使用密西西比州和路易斯安那州受卡特里娜飓风影响地区的社会经济数据进行测试。相关分析调查了种族地理、经济增长和自然灾害恢复力之间的关系。结果表明,民族隔离微社区的存在与韧性呈负相关,经济能力与韧性呈正相关。县级政府一般目的政府总数和人均一般财政收入与弹性指数的正相关系数表明政府参与和政府能力在弹性建设中的重要性。政府间转移性收入和总税收收入与弹性指数均不显著相关,这意味着联邦和州政府的财政援助以及私营经济支持的财政收入都至关重要。自然灾害复原力的定量指标为脆弱社区改善其进程提供了指导。我们希望通过决策者制定全面的计划来改善未来的计划,以建立有弹性的社区,并研究种族地理、经济增长和基本社会经济活动恢复之间的关系。
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