Ageing and the Pay-as-you-go (PAYG) Pension System’s Asset-liability (Mis)Matching

József Banyár
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Abstract

The study present how in the late 1930s-1940s a new, modern pension system was introduced in America without any theoretical basis, as a kind of arbitrary mix of existing pension systems, to replace the by then non-functioning “traditional pension system” in which working children maintained their ageing parents in exchange for having been raised. Later, in 1958, they found an ideology for the system, “solidarity between generations,” but this didn’t fit in with the system’s economic foundations, with the fact that the modern, pay-as-you-go pension system distributes the profits of raising children amongst the older generation regardless of how much people have contributed to it. This made raising children unprofitable, which provided a strong incentive to avoid it, thus launching the ageing process. Moreover, the modern pension system, also as a result of ageing, is making increasingly large and uncovered promises to the retired generation. The system may be repaired by matching the asset (raising children) side to the liabilities (pension promise) side, for example, by only promising a pension to those who have contributed to the system (through raising children or accumulating savings), and only to the extent of that contribution. Contribution payments are an obligation, the repayment of the cost of people’s upbringing, with relation to which no pension is automatically due. By doing so, the 3rd pillar of the modern pension system will also have been capitalized using a special kind of capital: human capital.
老龄化与现收现付(PAYG)养老金制度的资产负债匹配
该研究展示了在20世纪30年代末至40年代,一种新的、现代的养老金制度是如何在没有任何理论基础的情况下被引入美国的,作为一种现有养老金制度的任意混合,以取代当时不起作用的“传统养老金制度”,在这种制度下,打工的孩子赡养年迈的父母,以换取父母的抚养。后来,在1958年,他们为该制度找到了一种意识形态,“代际团结”,但这与该制度的经济基础不符,因为现代的现收现付养老金制度将抚养孩子的利润分配给了老一辈,而不管人们为该制度贡献了多少。这使得抚养孩子无利可图,这提供了一种强烈的动机来避免它,从而启动了老龄化进程。此外,现代养老金体系(也是老龄化的结果)正在向退休一代做出越来越大的、未兑现的承诺。这个体系可以通过将资产(抚养孩子)与负债(养老金承诺)相匹配来修复,例如,只向那些为体系做出贡献的人(通过抚养孩子或积累储蓄)承诺养老金,而且只能达到贡献的程度。缴款是一种义务,是对人们养育成本的偿还,与之相关的养恤金不会自动到期。通过这样做,现代养老金制度的第三个支柱也将利用一种特殊的资本:人力资本来资本化。
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