Simulation Models for Hydro-Electric Energy by Steady-Rate and Night-Shift-Pumped-Storage Operations

T. Haktanir, A. Aydemir
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Abstract

New operation simulation models for hydroelectric energy and its financial benefit over an N-year period in daily time steps by the steady-rate and the open-loop night-shift-pumped-storage rules are developed. These models are applied on 11 existing dams in Türkiye, which reflect a wide range of hydrologic and hydraulic peculiarities, for regulations between 90% through 40% and the outputs are compared. Regulation is the ratio of (outflow for energy generation, hm3/day) / (average inflow, hm3/day). The present worths of energy benefits and of pumping costs computed with a discount rate of 9.5% over a 35-year period yield that the night-shift pumped-storage operations are more profitable than the steady-rate rule. Finally, generalized regression equations for average annual produced energy and for present worth of net benefits by both operation rules against statistically significant explanatory variables are developed using the results of these 11 dams, which are all meaningful by relevant statistical criteria.
水电定率和夜间抽水蓄能运行的仿真模型
建立了基于稳态速率和开环夜间抽水蓄能规则的n年日步长水电能源运行仿真模型及其经济效益。这些模型应用于 rkiye现有的11座水坝,反映了广泛的水文和水力特性,并对90%至40%之间的规则和输出进行了比较。调节是(用于发电的流出量,hm3/天)/(平均流入量,hm3/天)的比率。在35年的时间里,按9.5%的贴现率计算,能源效益和抽水成本的现值表明,夜班抽水蓄能比稳定费率规则更有利可图。最后,利用这11座大坝的结果,建立了两种运行规则对统计显著解释变量的年平均发电量和净效益现值的广义回归方程,这些方程在相关统计标准下都是有意义的。
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CiteScore
1.70
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0.00%
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