The Future Prospects of the SCO in Central Asia in the Context of Strategic Cooperation Between Russia and China

Igor Khalanskii
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Abstract

The article focuses at the analysis of the role, importance and future prospects of the SCO in Central Asian region in the contextof strategic cooperation between Russia and China. There are three views presented within regional academic discourse on Russian-Chinese relations as “China-ally”, “China-enemy”, “China-partner-companion.” The first “China-ally” approach is based on ashared vision of the US as an enemy that lays the foundation for future cooperation between Russia and China. The second “Chinaenemy”approach assumes that China is alreasy causes a threat to Russia’s national interests. The third “China-partner-companion”approach focuses on the need for Moscow to combine flexibility and agility in the relationships with Beijing to explore opportunitiesto enhance Russia’s ability to cope with the Chinese challenge in the future, if any, will pose a threat. The article explores someaspects of accelerated growth of the Chinese armed forces, migration issues and economic expansion of China and its implicationsfor cooperation between SCO member-states.
中俄战略合作背景下上合组织在中亚地区的发展前景
文章重点分析了上合组织在中俄战略合作背景下在中亚地区的作用、重要性和未来前景。在俄中关系的区域学术论述中,存在“中国-盟友”、“中国-敌人”、“中国-伙伴-伙伴”三种观点。第一种“中国盟友”方式是基于将美国视为敌人的共同愿景,这为中俄未来的合作奠定了基础。第二种“中国敌人”假设中国已经对俄罗斯的国家利益构成威胁。第三种“中国-伙伴-伙伴”的方法侧重于莫斯科需要在与北京的关系中结合灵活性和敏捷性,以探索提高俄罗斯应对未来中国挑战的能力的机会,如果有的话,这将构成威胁。本文探讨了中国军队加速发展、移民问题和中国经济扩张的一些方面及其对上海合作组织成员国之间合作的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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