A Computer Model of the Spread of the Pandemic and its Analysis

Abstract

The paper describes and analyzes a mathematical model of the variable state of the incidence of epidemic diseases, which is of great importance for determining the quantity of vaccines and antiviral drugs to be produced.    The information model according to the system of differential equations of the spread of the pandemic is illustrated in a structural diagram. The model is presented in a vector-matrix form and the state of equilibrium of the model in the spatial state is proved.The model of the spread of the pandemic was developed, whose implementation with a Matlab software package resulted in obtaining the curves of variation of the state. The developed computer model of the incidence of epidemic diseases can be used to make a projection of the number of infected people, as well as intensity of the process of disseminating information and ideas in the community.