Japanese Abenomics Stimulus Policy: The Impact on Indonesian and Japanese Economy

Sigit Setiawan
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Abstract

To address economic crisis and promote domestic economy to re-grow, Japanese government has launched Abenomics stimulus package in January 2013 to be disbursed during period 2013-2014. This study is focused and limited to analyze the impact of Abenomics policy on Japanese GDP and its transmission effect to Indonesian GDP. This study employs quantitative analysis method, completed with descriptive analysis based on historical data and relevant literatures. Main findings from this study are Abenomics will spur Japanese GDP positively by 2,37% in 2013 and by 2,79% in 2014. Spillover effect from Japanese demand shock will bring the biggest impact on the main partner of Asian and Oceania countries, including Indonesia. Indonesia will receive additional positive impact on its growth in 2013-2014 and substractive negative impact during 2015 to early 2017, before bounce back to positive zone in the second quarter 2017 to year 2018.
日本安倍经济刺激政策:对印尼和日本经济的影响
为了应对经济危机,促进国内经济的再增长,日本政府于2013年1月推出了安倍经济学刺激计划,计划在2013-2014年期间实施。本研究的重点和局限在于分析安倍经济学政策对日本GDP的影响及其对印尼GDP的传导效应。本研究采用定量分析方法,在历史资料和相关文献的基础上进行描述性分析。这项研究的主要发现是,安倍经济学将在2013年和2014年分别推动日本GDP增长2.37%和2.79%。日本需求冲击的溢出效应将对包括印尼在内的亚洲和大洋洲国家的主要合作伙伴带来最大的影响。2013-2014年,印尼经济增长将受到额外的积极影响,2015年至2017年初将受到负面影响,然后在2017年第二季度至2018年反弹至正区域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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