IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON CROPPING SYSTEM AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES UNDERTAKEN BY INDIGENOUS COMMUNITY: A CASE STUDY FROM JIRI MUNICIPALITY, DOLAKHA, NEPAL

Madhu Paudel, Deepa Timsina
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Abstract

Climate change is a proven and burning issue in world. It has visibly impacting different nation. The study was focused to assess the impact of climate change on cropping system and adaptation strategies undertaken by indigenous community in Jiri Municipality of Dolakha district, Nepal in 2022, which was dominated by the indigenous community namely Jirel. In survey, 212 households were selected from five wards of Jiri Municipality using purposive sampling technique. Preliminary study, scheduled questionnaire survey, field observation, focus group discussion and key informant interview were the primary information sources and secondary information were collected and analyzed using SPSS software; Microsoft Excel and Logistic regression model. From this research on Jiri Municipality of Dolakha district of country Nepal, it is again proved that the climate at the local level has been experiencing increasing trends of both precipitation and temperature (1992-2021). Analysis of agricultural data and meteorological data (2008/09 to 2019/20) shows that the annual yield of the crops like maize, wheat, millet and potato are increasing annually. This signifies that there was positive impact to crop production of study area. At the same time series, both trend of temperature and precipitation are annually increasing. Farmers have experienced that agricultural productivity is decreasing than in the recent years because of different diseases, pest, erratic rainfall, etc. However, there was also positive impact of climate change in study area because climatic variables created favorable environment to grow cauliflower, cabbage, chilly, pumpkin, lemon, kiwi fruit and spinach which were unusual crop species of study area before. Local people’s experience part shows mixed outcomes i.e. positive as well as negative impact on agricultural production due to climate change. As per the analysis of sales of chemical fertilizers data (2014/15 to 2019/20) in the study area, there was fluctuating trend of chemical fertilizers i.e. significant decrease in the sales of urea with 107.64 Mt per year. Crop yield trend showed highly positive correlation for maize, wheat and millet whereas low positive correlation for potato along with the sales of chemical fertilizers. Majority of the respondents are practicing intercropping and planning to use hybrid seeds, pesticides, chemical fertilizers, tunnel and irrigation channel, similarly, to adapt new crops and to change planting time of crops. Whereas, 100% of the respondents were using bio fertilizers to cope with increasing climatic trend.
气候变化对种植制度的影响及土著社区采取的适应策略:来自尼泊尔多拉卡jiri市的案例研究
气候变化是世界公认的紧迫问题。它明显地影响了不同的国家。该研究的重点是评估气候变化对尼泊尔多拉卡地区Jiri市土著社区在2022年采取的种植制度和适应策略的影响,该地区以土著社区Jirel为主。在调查中,采用有目的抽样技术,从智异市的五个区选取212户家庭。初步研究、计划问卷调查、实地观察、焦点小组讨论和关键信息访谈是主要信息来源,次要信息收集和分析使用SPSS软件;Microsoft Excel和Logistic回归模型。通过对尼泊尔国家Dolakha地区的Jiri市的研究,再次证明了当地气候在1992-2021年经历了降水和温度的增加趋势。对农业数据和气象数据(2008/09至2019/20)的分析表明,玉米、小麦、小米和马铃薯等作物的年产量逐年增加。这对研究区作物生产产生了积极影响。在同一时间序列上,气温和降水的趋势都是逐年增加的。农民们认为,由于各种疾病、害虫、降雨不稳定等原因,农业生产力比近年来有所下降。然而,气候变化对研究区也有积极的影响,因为气候变量为研究区以前不常见的菜花、卷心菜、辣椒、南瓜、柠檬、猕猴桃和菠菜的生长创造了有利的环境。当地人民的经历部分显示出喜忧参半的结果,即气候变化对农业生产的积极影响和消极影响。根据研究区2014/15 - 2019/20年化肥销售数据分析,化肥有波动趋势,即尿素销量明显下降,年销量为10764 Mt。玉米、小麦和谷子产量趋势与化肥销售呈高度正相关,马铃薯产量趋势与化肥销售呈低正相关。大多数受访者正在实行间作,并计划使用杂交种子、农药、化肥、隧道和灌溉渠道,同样,以适应新的作物和改变作物的种植时间。然而,100%的受访者正在使用生物肥料来应对日益加剧的气候趋势。
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