The Present and Future of Employment: Ibero-American Context

E. Ermolieva
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Abstract

The world of work is changing rapidly. The impact of the current megatrends on the future of employment has been widely debated around the world and became a focus of numerous reviews of international organizations. The Sars-Cov-2 pandemic has added even more urgency to the discussion and has affected more countries, including Iberian Peninsula and Latin America. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic-induced lockdowns and related global recession of 2020 have created a highly uncertain outlook for the labor market and accelerated the arrival of the future of work. COVID-19 has shown us how rapid change can destroy jobs. But at the same time, it must be recognized that the labor market has fundamentally changed within just a few months of the pandemic with the spread of some non-standard employment such as tele- and platform work. Thus, the COVID-19 became a catalyst for the rapid changes that will define the future of the labor market in different parts of the world. But, as some results show, digital transformation in employment brought serious inequalities, called the digital divide with its multidimensional impact. For example, a new digital gap has emerged between the global North and the global South. Through these optics, the article attempts to summarize the results of studies that are monitoring how labor markets are changing in different regions of the world. And the main aim is to better understand the specifics of the situation in Spain, Portugal and Latin American countries which collectively are integral parts of the Ibero-American community. To achieve the goal, the principal tools of scientific analysis were used, including collecting and analyzing a significant body of empirical data from international sources and publications of national departments for labor and employment. The review helped to identify the basic features of the current moment and possible prospects in the development of the employment sector in Iberoamerica. Following the principle of comparative analysis research, the author comes to the conclusion that, on the one hand, the processes similar to the global trends are present, but, on the other hand, the peculiarities determined by the national characteristics of the Ibero-American content are quite obvious.
就业的现在和未来:伊比利亚-美洲背景
工作世界正在迅速变化。当前的大趋势对未来就业的影响已经在世界范围内广泛讨论,并成为众多国际组织审查的焦点。新冠肺炎大流行使讨论更加紧迫,并影响到更多国家,包括伊比利亚半岛和拉丁美洲。此外,2019冠状病毒病大流行引发的封锁和相关的2020年全球经济衰退,给劳动力市场带来了高度不确定的前景,加速了未来工作的到来。COVID-19向我们展示了快速变化如何摧毁就业机会。但与此同时,必须认识到,随着一些非标准就业岗位(如远程和平台工作)的蔓延,在疫情发生后的短短几个月内,劳动力市场发生了根本性变化。因此,2019冠状病毒病成为快速变革的催化剂,这些变革将决定世界各地劳动力市场的未来。但是,正如一些结果所显示的那样,就业领域的数字化转型带来了严重的不平等,即数字鸿沟,其影响是多方面的。例如,全球北方和全球南方之间出现了新的数字鸿沟。通过这些视角,本文试图总结监测世界不同地区劳动力市场变化的研究结果。其主要目的是更好地了解西班牙、葡萄牙和拉丁美洲国家的具体情况,这些国家合起来是伊比利亚-美洲共同体的组成部分。为了实现这一目标,使用了科学分析的主要工具,包括收集和分析来自国际来源和国家劳动和就业部门出版物的大量经验数据。这项审查有助于确定伊比利亚美洲目前的基本特点和发展就业部门的可能前景。根据比较分析研究的原则,笔者得出结论,一方面,伊比利亚美洲内容的民族特征所决定的特殊性,与全球趋势相似,但另一方面,伊比利亚美洲内容的民族特征所决定的特殊性相当明显。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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