Sustainable land use in the Sudano-Sahelian zone of Mali: exploring economically viable options using multiple goal linear programming

E. Bakker, H. Hengsdijk, K. Sissoko
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

Technical options in crop and animal husbandry to reduce soil nutrient mining and other forms of natural resource degradation in the Sudano-Sahelian zone should be economically attractive, if they are to be adopted. A model is presented in which agronomic and economic information and goals are combined to explore possibilities for agro-ecologically sustainable and economically viable land use in three different climatic regions in Mali and for a situation of non-degraded soils. The time frame of the study is to the year 2010. For each region, an agro-ecologically sustainable land use system (a combination of crop, livestock and pasture production systems) that maximizes income of the agricultural sector and satisfies self sufficiency targets is identified. Special attention is given to the use of chemical fertilizer in crop activities. It is shown that use of chemical fertilizer is an important element of sustainable and economically viable land use, especially in higher rainfall regions. Population size has a marked effect on optimal land use systems in the regions, but self sufficiency is not endangered even if the population is 50% higher than estimated for 2010. It is argued that results should not be used to simulate the actual situation or future developments, but to define priorities for agricultural development in the Sudano-Sahelian region.
马里苏丹-萨赫勒地区的可持续土地利用:利用多目标线性规划探索经济上可行的选择
在作物和畜牧业方面减少苏丹-萨赫勒地区土壤养分开采和其他形式自然资源退化的技术选择,如果要加以采用,在经济上应该具有吸引力。提出了一个模型,其中农学和经济信息和目标相结合,探索在马里三个不同气候区域和非退化土壤情况下农业生态可持续和经济上可行的土地利用的可能性。这项研究的时间框架是到2010年。对于每个区域,确定了农业生态可持续的土地利用系统(作物、牲畜和牧场生产系统的组合),使农业部门的收入最大化,并满足自给自足的目标。特别注意作物活动中化肥的使用。研究表明,化肥的使用是可持续和经济上可行的土地利用的重要因素,特别是在高降雨量地区。人口规模对区域的最佳土地利用系统有显著影响,但即使人口比2010年估计的高出50%,自给自足也不会受到威胁。有人认为,结果不应用于模拟实际情况或未来的发展,而应用于确定苏丹-萨赫勒地区农业发展的优先事项。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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