Development of Risk Assessment Tools for Enterprises

Y. Trifonov, E. Fomina
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Abstract

Th e purpose of this article is to develop tools for assessing the risks of enterprises, used both to assess the current activities of enterprises and during the implementation of investment proj-ects. It is supposed to be used both as the main risk assessment tool, for example, for small and medium-sized enterprises, and as an additional tool, mainly for large enterprises, for making a preliminary decision on the feasibility of the project. Th e developed tools include a comprehen-sive risk assessment system, which provides a fundamental basis for calculations, and a soft ware product that signifi cantly optimizes the calculations of a complex integral risk indicator. Th e risk assessment system represents individual risks, grouped by 51 risk groups. Making calculations using the developed risk assessment tools involves assigning to each risk the characteristics of assessing the level of infl uence by selecting the characteristic most appropriate to the current level of risk. A standard version of indicators is proposed for each risk and characteristics cor-responding to "high", "elevated", "medium", "moderate" and "low" risk levels. Based on the results of the analysis, a complex integral risk indicator is formed, which is a quantitative risk assessment, which allows you to classify an enterprise into one of three groups: "eff ective enterprise / project", "enterprise / project requiring improvements", "ineffi cient enterprise". To optimize the calcula-tions, the authors have developed a soft ware product that allows for analysis with a signifi cant reduction in the time spent on its implementation. In general, the use of the developed risk as-sessment system and tools makes it possible to signifi cantly optimize the risk assessment process and reduce the costs of analisys.
企业风险评估工具的开发
本文的目的是开发评估企业风险的工具,用于评估企业当前的活动和投资项目的实施过程。它既可以作为主要的风险评估工具,例如,用于中小型企业,也可以作为附加的工具,主要用于大型企业,用于对项目的可行性做出初步决定。开发的工具包括一个全面的风险评估系统,它为计算提供了一个基本的基础,以及一个软件产品,它显著地优化了复杂的积分风险指标的计算。风险评估系统代表单个风险,分为51个风险组。使用已开发的风险评估工具进行计算,涉及通过选择最适合当前风险水平的特征,为每个风险分配评估影响水平的特征。为每一种风险和特征提出了标准的指标,分别对应“高”、“高”、“中”、“中”和“低”风险水平。根据分析结果,形成了一个复杂的整体风险指标,这是一种定量的风险评估,可以将企业分为三组:“有效的企业/项目”、“需要改进的企业/项目”、“低效的企业”。为了优化计算,作者开发了一个软件产品,该软件产品允许在实现上花费的时间显著减少的情况下进行分析。一般来说,使用开发的风险评估系统和工具,可以显著优化风险评估过程,降低分析成本。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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