Notice of RetractionDynamic wave-loading fatigue reliability analysis of deepwater drilling riser

Xiu-quan Liu, Guo-ming Chen, Yuangjiang Chang, Lei Zhang, Fei Li
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Abstract

Deepwater drilling riser is a major component of offshore drilling system that connects drilling platform with subsea wellhead. The primary damage mode of a drilling riser is fatigue failure due to oscillatory environmental loads. Riser fatigue is sensitive to varieties of uncertainties, such as structural loads and material properties. It is vital to evaluate the fatigue failure using probabilistic approach. This paper focuses on dynamic fatigue reliability of deepwater drilling riser under random waves together-with drilling platform motion. Several parameters that contribute meaningfully to the uncertainty of riser fatigue are firstly considered. A sensitivity study is then conducted to identify critical random variables. It is found that S-N parameter A, response amplitude operator (RAO) of drilling platform and Palmgren-Miner's index Δ have a pronounced influence on the uncertainty of fatigue damage in splash zone. Subsequently, dynamic reliability analysis model for wave-loading fatigue is established in the form of second-order polynomial. Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is used for solving the established model. In the calculations, fatigue reliability at different service time can be determined.
深水钻井隔水管动波载荷疲劳可靠性分析
深水钻井隔水管是连接钻井平台与水下井口的海上钻井系统的重要组成部分。钻井隔水管的主要损坏形式是环境振动载荷引起的疲劳破坏。隔水管疲劳对结构载荷和材料性能等各种不确定因素都很敏感。利用概率方法对疲劳失效进行评估具有重要意义。研究了深水钻井隔水管随钻井平台运动在随机波作用下的动态疲劳可靠性。首先考虑了对隔水管疲劳不确定性有重要影响的几个参数。然后进行敏感性研究以确定关键随机变量。研究发现,S-N参数A、钻井平台响应幅值算子(RAO)和Palmgren-Miner指数Δ对飞溅区疲劳损伤的不确定性有显著影响。在此基础上,建立了二阶多项式形式的波载疲劳动力可靠性分析模型。采用蒙特卡罗仿真(MCS)对所建立的模型进行求解。在计算中,可以确定不同使用时间下的疲劳可靠性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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