An Economic Analysis of a Drug-Selling Gang&Apos;S Finances

S. Levitt, S. Venkatesh
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引用次数: 308

Abstract

We analyze a unique data set detailing the financial activities of a drug-selling street gang on a monthly basis over a four-year period in the recent past. The data, originally compiled by the gang leader to aid in managing the organization, contain detailed information on both the sources of revenues (e.g. drug sales, extortion) and expenditrues (e.g. costs of drugs sold, weapons, tribute to the central gang organization, wages paid to various levels of the gang). Street-level drug dealing appears to be less lucrative than is generally though. We estimate the average wage in the organization to rise from roughly $6 per hour to $11 per hour over the time period studied. The distribution of wages, however, is extremely skewed. Gang leaders earn far more than they could in the legitimate sector, but the actual street-level dealers appear to earn less than the minimum wage throughout most of our sample, in spite of the substantial risks associated with such activities (the annual violent death rate in our sample is 0.07), There is some evidence consistent both with compensating differentials and efficiency wages. The markup on drugs suggests that the gang has substantial local market power. Gang wars appear to have an important strategic component: violence on another gang's turf shifts demand away from that area. The gang we observe responds to such attacks by pricing below marginal cost, suggesting either economic punishment for the rival gang or the presence of switching for users that makes market share maintenance valuable. We investigate a range of alternative methods for estimating the willingness of gang members to accept risks of death, all of which suggest that the implicit value that gang members place on their own lives is very low.
一个贩毒团伙财务状况的经济分析
我们分析了一组独特的数据,详细描述了最近四年来街头贩毒团伙每月的财务活动。这些数据最初是由团伙头目为帮助管理该组织而汇编的,其中载有关于收入来源(如毒品销售、敲诈勒索)和支出来源(如毒品销售、武器、向中央团伙组织进贡、支付给团伙各级人员的工资)的详细信息。不过,街头毒品交易似乎不像一般情况那样有利可图。我们估计,在研究期间,该组织的平均工资从每小时约6美元上升到每小时11美元。然而,工资分配极不平衡。帮派头目的收入远远高于他们在合法部门的收入,但在我们的大多数样本中,实际的街头毒贩的收入似乎低于最低工资,尽管与此类活动相关的风险很大(我们样本中的年暴力死亡率为0.07)。有一些证据与补偿差异和效率工资相一致。毒品的加价表明该团伙在当地市场有相当大的势力。帮派战争似乎有一个重要的战略组成部分:在另一个帮派的地盘上发生暴力事件会转移对该地区的需求。我们观察到的团伙对这种攻击的反应是定价低于边际成本,这表明要么对竞争团伙进行经济惩罚,要么对用户进行转换,从而使维持市场份额变得有价值。我们调查了一系列估算帮派成员接受死亡风险意愿的替代方法,所有这些方法都表明,帮派成员对自己生命的隐含价值非常低。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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