Analiza ekonomske opravdanosti investiranja u solarnu elektranu sa vertikalno postavljenim bifacijalnim fotonaponskim modulima u perspektivnim uslovima slobodnog tržišta

Đorđe Lazović, Kristina Džodić, Željko Đurišić
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Abstract

The future of European energy is moving towards a single European electricity market and an increasing share of renewables in the overall production mix. After the expiration of governmental incentive measures, power plants based on renewable energy sources will enter the liberalized market, where electricity prices will largely depend on the production of renewable energy sources. In order to achieve the maximum possible profit of the power plant under such conditions, it is necessary to consider the possibility of investing in solutions that are less represented today, but with the prospect of being more profitable in the future. Such a solution is a solar power plant consisting of vertically placed bifacial modules whose active surfaces are oriented in the east-west direction. This configuration of the power plant can achieve higher production in periods of high prices, and thus higher profits from the sale of electricity. On the other hand, such a solution is more expensive than a standard solar power plant with monofacial modules. In this paper, a comparison of return on investment in a bifacial power plant and a monofacial power plant with existing and prospective market conditions is performed. PVsyst software was used to analyze the solar potential and production profiles of photovoltaic power plants. The influence of solar power plant production on the price of electricity was investigated on the example of Germany. Based on this research, a prognostic model of the daily price diagram on the unified European market until 2040 was formed which served for the analysis of the profitability of investments in the two considered variants of the solar power plant realization.
欧洲能源的未来正朝着单一的欧洲电力市场发展,可再生能源在整体生产结构中所占的份额越来越大。在政府奖励措施到期后,以可再生能源为基础的发电厂将进入自由化市场,届时电价将在很大程度上取决于可再生能源的生产。在这种情况下,为了使发电厂获得最大可能的利润,有必要考虑投资于目前代表性较低,但在未来有更大利润前景的解决方案的可能性。这种解决方案是由垂直放置的双面模块组成的太阳能发电厂,其活动表面面向东西方向。电厂的这种配置可以在高电价时期实现更高的产量,从而获得更高的售电利润。另一方面,这种解决方案比带有单面模块的标准太阳能发电厂更昂贵。本文对双面电厂和单面电厂在现有和未来市场条件下的投资回报率进行了比较。利用PVsyst软件分析了光伏电站的太阳能潜力和生产概况。以德国为例,研究了太阳能发电对电价的影响。在此研究的基础上,形成了统一欧洲市场至2040年每日价格图的预测模型,用于分析太阳能发电厂实现的两种考虑变体的投资盈利能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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