Regional Governments Spending, Private Investment and Employment Performance in Indonesia

B. Budiyanto, D. Priyarsono, B. Sinaga, T. Sudaryanto
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The amount and composition of government spending in fiscal operations has a significant impact on aggregate demand and national output and affects resource allocationin an economy. Therefore, in order to achieve effective economic development, government spending has to be allocated appropriately according to the potentials of each area. Indonesia, which consists of areas with a variety of potential resources would require the determination of the amount and composition of different government spending in order to have an impact on the growth of private investment and employment opportunities are maximized. The purpose of this study is to examine the regional government expenditure performance, private investment and employment opportunities in the area where contribution of the agricultural sector to GRDP is high and low. The study utilizes an econometric model of the system of simultaneous equations using a panel of data of 20 provinces in Indonesia for the period of2003-2011. The 20 sampled provinces were classified into two groups, based on contribution of agriculture sector to the respective regional economy. The estimation results indicate that the determination of the amount of local government spending, both in the areas where the contribution of the agricultural sector to GRDP is either high or low, based on the activity or program of the previous year. Meanwhile, the greater the number of regional government spending for the agricultural sector, the private investment of agricultural sector and employment is increasing.
印尼地区政府支出、私人投资和就业表现
财政运作中政府支出的数量和构成对总需求和国民产出有重大影响,并影响经济中的资源配置。因此,为了实现经济的有效发展,政府支出必须根据各个地区的潜力进行适当的分配。印度尼西亚由具有各种潜在资源的地区组成,需要确定不同政府支出的数额和组成,以便对私人投资的增长产生影响,并使就业机会最大化。本研究的目的是考察农业部门对国内生产总值贡献高低的地区的区域政府支出绩效、私人投资和就业机会。本研究利用印度尼西亚20个省2003-2011年的数据面板,采用联立方程组的计量经济模型。20个抽样省份根据农业部门对各自区域经济的贡献分为两组。估算结果表明,在农业部门对GRDP贡献高或低的地区,地方政府支出金额的确定是基于前一年的活动或计划。同时,地区政府对农业部门的支出越多,农业部门的私人投资和就业就越增加。
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