Managing Uncertainty in Work Organizations

G. Grote
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Abstract

Managing uncertainty is a crucial task for organizations. This essay argues that uncertainty management should not only be understood in terms of reducing externally generated uncertainty, as previous research has predominantly done, but should also consider internal uncertainty creation. Evidence from extant research illustrates how this expanded perspective is better able to capture the paradoxical tensions inherent in uncertainty management. A multilevel approach is proposed as processes of reducing and creating uncertainty simultaneously happen and create complementarities across levels of analysis. Major theoretical frameworks, such as self-regulation, decision-making under uncertainty, contingency theory, and organizational control, will benefit from adopting such an expanded perspective because their explanatory power is currently limited due to the one-sided view of uncertainty as an external threat to individual, team, and organizational goal-striving.
管理工作组织中的不确定性
管理不确定性是组织的一项关键任务。本文认为,不确定性管理不仅应该从减少外部产生的不确定性的角度来理解,就像以前的研究主要做的那样,还应该考虑内部不确定性的产生。来自现有研究的证据表明,这种扩展的视角如何能够更好地捕捉不确定性管理中固有的矛盾张力。提出了一种多层次的方法,因为减少和创造不确定性的过程同时发生,并在分析的各个层次上创造互补性。主要的理论框架,如自我调节、不确定性下的决策、权变理论和组织控制,将受益于采用这种扩展的视角,因为它们的解释力目前是有限的,因为不确定性是对个人、团队和组织目标奋斗的外部威胁的片面观点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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