Carbon Sequestration-oriented Forest Management Plans

Jie Wu, Junjie Shi, Deyu Song, Shengyao Zheng, Shuangshuang Chen
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Abstract

Recently, climate change can pose a significant threat to the lives of plants and animals. And forests play a vital role in climate change mitigation efforts. From a general point of view, we built a dynamic carbon sequestration model with the help of the assessment provided by IPCC and a BCEF-based set of differential equations that were optimized. Then we build a decision model for the optimal forest exploitation direction by analyzing detailed forest data specifically. First, we used the biomass expansion factor to determine the amount of carbon sequestered per unit area of trees for the first model. The data were also queried to determine the carbon sequestration of below-ground and shrub trees. Then, we focused on the footprint of trees of different species ages to build a dynamic differential model of forest area to predict future forest carbon sequestration. Secondly, for the second model, we first collected data extensively. And then we determined the weights for some specific indicators by hierarchical analysis, followed by forwarding and dimensionless processing of the data, and then scored by the Topsis method to synthesize each indicator into the corresponding target layer, which can be clustered and analyzed to into three groups: unsuitable, more suitable, and suitable. We determine the transition point by calculating the critical value of each group according to the grouping.
以碳封存为导向的森林管理计划
最近,气候变化可能对植物和动物的生命构成重大威胁。森林在减缓气候变化的努力中发挥着至关重要的作用。从总体上看,我们利用IPCC的评估结果和优化后的基于bcef的一组微分方程,构建了动态固碳模型。然后通过详细的森林数据分析,建立了森林最优开发方向的决策模型。首先,我们使用生物量膨胀系数来确定第一个模型中每单位面积树木的固碳量。还查询了这些数据,以确定地下和灌木树木的碳固存。然后,以不同种龄树木的足迹为研究对象,建立森林面积动态差异模型,预测未来森林固碳量。其次,对于第二个模型,我们首先广泛收集数据。然后通过层次分析法确定一些具体指标的权重,然后对数据进行转发和无因次处理,再通过Topsis法进行评分,将各个指标综合到相应的目标层,将其聚类分析为不合适、更合适、合适三组。我们根据分组计算每组的临界值来确定过渡点。
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