„Mindent eláraszt, ami az útjába kerül” – a 2004-es indiai-óceáni földrengés és szökőár katasztrófadiplomáciai elemzése

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Abstract

The 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami was the result of a highly complex process that involved the release of enormous amounts of seismic energy. Although the magnitude of neither the earthquake nor the tsunami was unprecedented, due to the size of the affected area, the height above sea level, the size and density of the local population, as well as the unpreparedness of the risk management, the disaster can be identified as the most destructive catastrophe of humanity. The present research examines the events of the 2004 tsunami in the context of Southeast Asian disaster diplomacy. The methodological framework of the study is the complex adaptive system (CAS) method, which is applied in the analysis of complex adaptive systems through four properties and three mechanisms. Among the variables of the CAS method, the property of diversity as well as the mechanism of building blocks determined regional cooperation. The natural disaster of 2004 demonstrates well that the member states of the Association of Southeast Nations are capable of disaster cooperation despite the unsuccessful protection measures.
2004年印度洋地震和海啸是一个高度复杂的过程的结果,这个过程涉及释放大量的地震能量。虽然地震和海啸的震级都不是前所未有的,但由于受灾地区的规模、海拔高度、当地人口的规模和密度,以及风险管理的准备不足,这场灾难可以被认为是人类最具破坏性的灾难。本研究在东南亚灾难外交的背景下考察2004年海啸事件。本研究的方法论框架是复杂自适应系统(CAS)方法,该方法通过四种性质和三种机制来分析复杂自适应系统。在CAS方法的变量中,多样性的特性和构建块的机制决定了区域合作。2004年的自然灾害充分说明,尽管保护措施不成功,东南亚国家联盟成员国仍有能力进行灾害合作。
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