Effect of Dividend Policy Decision on Share Price Volatility (SPV) of Modaraba Companies Listed in Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)

Muhammad Siddique
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Abstract

This study aims to test the relationship between dividend policy decisions on the share price Volatility of Modaraba Companies quoted in the Pakistan stock exchange. The data for empirical analysis was collected from the Pakistan stock exchange, Recorder archive, and Ksestocks.com. By using the sampling technique, a sample of 19 Modaraba Companies was taken from 2010 to 2018. The empirical analysis was conducted using multiple regression techniques by employing a fixed effect model on panel data. This study also incorporated four control variables (size, growth, operating earning & level of debt) in empirical analysis to avoid multicollinearity problems between dividend policy measures and spurious regression. The results of the study validate the theory of relevance of dividend policy decisions on share price Volatility. Dividend policy has a negative and significant bearing on Stock price volatility. Higher leverage (debt level) leads to higher instability in stock prices. Firm earning volatility is positively associated with share price volatility. Firm size and firm's growth in terms of assets also has a negative but insignificant impact on share price Volatility
股利决策对巴基斯坦证券交易所上市公司股价波动率的影响
本研究旨在检验股利政策决策与巴基斯坦证券交易所上市公司股价波动之间的关系。用于实证分析的数据收集自巴基斯坦证券交易所、recordarchive和Ksestocks.com。采用抽样方法,从2010年至2018年抽取了19家摩达拉巴公司的样本。实证分析采用多元回归技术,对面板数据采用固定效应模型。为了避免股利政策措施与虚假回归之间的多重共线性问题,本研究还在实证分析中引入了四个控制变量(规模、增长、经营收益和债务水平)。研究结果验证了股利决策与股价波动相关的理论。股利政策对股价波动有显著负向影响。较高的杠杆(债务水平)导致股票价格的不稳定性更高。公司盈利波动率与股价波动率呈正相关。企业规模和企业资产增长对股价波动率也有负向但不显著的影响
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