An approach to modelling the impact of international migration on the economy of receiving country

L. Chernobay, V. Adamyk, S. Malibroda
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Being an objective element of the global economic system, international migration produces a significant impact on the performance of individual countries nowadays. The economic impact of international migration is driven by various factors, primarily the type of international migration (labour migration, refugee migration, family migration, or student migration) and the legislation of a receiving country which determines the ability of international migrants to interact with the host country’s economy and to produce the respective impact. The hypothesis of this study builds on the premise that legislation of the receiving country determines the “capabilities of migrants”, that is a set of actions that can be performed by an international migrant on the territory of receiving country, the consequences of which will produce an impact on the economy of receiving country. We identified the following capabilities: the ability to enter and stay in the country; the ability to be employed; the ability to obtain social protection, education and citizenship; the ability to own and dispose of property. Capabilities are not firmly attached to particular types of international migration. For example, the capability to be employed is associated with such types of migrants as labour migrants, refugees, family and other migrants, depending on the country. The influence of international migrants on the economy of receiving country is determined not by the type of migration, but by the combination of actual capabilities that correspond to certain types of migration. We found five combinations of migrants’ capabilities that determine four types of economic relationships between the migrants and the receiving country’s economy. Each type of economic interaction produces a different effect on the economy of receiving country and can be changed by means of expanding or constraining certain capabilities of migrants, which requires that respective amendments be introduced in the legislation of the receiving country. The scientific appropriateness of our approach to modelling the impact of international migration on the economy of receiving country is based on the analysis of the global legal framework for purposes of identifying the rights that ensure the respective capabilities of migrants, as well as on the application of SNA-2008 principles to modelling the impact of international migration on the economy of receiving country. In this study, we used the method of analysis to single out the rights that ensure the migrant’s capabilities; the method of generalization to reveal attributes, based on which separate rights could be matched with respective capabilities; the method of explanation to describe the notions of “migrant’s capabilities” and “type of economic interaction”; the method of classification to separate specific types of economic interaction; and the method of modelling to describe the relationship between the legislation of the receiving country, the migrants’ capabilities, the types of international migrants, and the impact of such migrants on the economy of receiving country. Lviv Polytechnic National University Institutional Repository http://ena.lp.edu.ua L. Chernobay, V. Adamyk, S. Malibroda 48
一种模拟国际移徙对接受国经济影响的方法
作为全球经济体系的一个客观因素,国际移民对当今各国的经济表现产生了重大影响。国际移民的经济影响是由各种因素驱动的,主要是国际移民的类型(劳工移民、难民移民、家庭移民或学生移民)和接收国的立法,这决定了国际移民与东道国经济互动的能力,并产生各自的影响。本研究的假设建立在接受国立法决定“移民能力”的前提下,即国际移民在接受国领土上可以采取的一系列行动,其后果将对接受国的经济产生影响。我们确定了以下能力:入境和停留的能力;就业能力:被雇用的能力;获得社会保护、教育和公民身份的能力;拥有和处置财产的能力。能力并没有牢固地与特定类型的国际移徙联系在一起。例如,就业能力与劳工移徙者、难民、家庭和其他移徙者等移徙者有关,视国家而定。国际移徙者对接受国经济的影响不是由移徙的类型决定,而是由与某些移徙类型相对应的实际能力的综合决定。我们发现了移民能力的五种组合,这些组合决定了移民与接收国经济之间的四种经济关系。每种类型的经济相互作用对接受国的经济产生不同的影响,可以通过扩大或限制移徙者的某些能力来改变,这需要在接受国的立法中提出相应的修正案。我们对国际移民对接受国经济影响建模方法的科学适用性是基于对全球法律框架的分析,目的是确定确保移民各自能力的权利,以及应用SNA-2008原则来模拟国际移民对接受国经济的影响。在本研究中,我们采用分析的方法,挑选出保障移民能力的权利;采用泛化方法揭示属性,在此基础上,可以将单独的权限与各自的能力进行匹配;描述“移民能力”和“经济互动类型”概念的解释方法;分类的方法,以分离具体类型的经济互动;并采用建模的方法来描述接受国的立法、移民的能力、国际移民的类型以及这些移民对接受国经济的影响之间的关系。利沃夫国立理工大学机构资源库http://ena.lp.edu.ua L. Chernobay, V. Adamyk, S. Malibroda 48
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