GIS-based Modeling of Debris Flow Runout Susceptibility in Kulekhani Watershed, Nepal

Bhuwani Paudel, M. Fall, B. Daneshfar
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Rainfall-induced landslide masses often change into disastrous debris flows and damage large areas in Nepal’s mountainous region. The area covered by debris flow inundation is a most essential component for landslide hazard assessments leading to development of land use plans for saving lives and property. Because debris flow is a complex natural phenomenon, runout analysis requires very detailed information and rigorous procedures. Various empirical and dynamic models are available for debris flow runout simulation. However, a simple and publicly accessible model that can provide reasonable results is the ideal option for engineers and scientists. The Flow-R model with various algorithms has the capability to analyze debris flow inundation with limited input information, and the model software is readily available in the public domain. In this research, the Flow-R model with user-defined landslidesusceptible areas for a single rainfall event (540 mm in 24 hours) was chosen for debris flow runout analysis in Kulekhani Watershed (Nepal). The results obtained from this modeling for the debris flow inundation area was 2.68% of the watershed. The result is comparable to previously observed debris flow area in the study watershed.
基于gis的尼泊尔库勒卡尼流域泥石流突变敏感性模拟
降雨引起的山体滑坡经常演变成灾难性的泥石流,并破坏尼泊尔山区的大片地区。泥石流淹没覆盖的地区是滑坡危害评估的最重要组成部分,从而制定土地利用计划,以拯救生命和财产。由于泥石流是一种复杂的自然现象,跳动分析需要非常详细的信息和严格的程序。泥石流跳动模拟有多种经验模型和动态模型。然而,对于工程师和科学家来说,一个简单的、可公开访问的、能够提供合理结果的模型是理想的选择。采用多种算法的flow - r模型具有在有限输入信息下分析泥石流淹没的能力,模型软件在公共领域也很容易获得。在这项研究中,选择了具有用户定义的单一降雨事件(24小时540毫米)滑坡易感区域的flow - r模型进行尼泊尔库勒卡尼流域的泥石流脉动分析。模拟结果表明,泥石流淹没面积占流域面积的2.68%。该结果与研究流域先前观测到的泥石流区域具有可比性。
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