The Political Economy of Industrialization in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evaluating the Role of Institutions

L. Effiom, E. Uche
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Sub-Saharan Africa has recently witnessed rising growth rates, but the continent is still largely not industrialised. Mainstream empirical diagnosis has identified the paucity of physical and human capital as the main culprit. However, with the increasing inflow of capital into the continent, such arguments have become hackneyed. A possible culprit identified in the evolving development literature is the quality of institutions. How much has the quality of institutions, structured largely by the prevailing political economy of individual states, influenced Africa’s industrial performance? This study deploys descriptive and analytical methodologies to proffer answers to these questions. The estimates obtained from the Pool Mean Group Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (PMG-ARDL) as well as the Augmented Mean Group (AMG) panel estimators point strongly to the fact that institutions are bane of industrialization in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Specifically, we find evidence that in the long run, regulatory quality, rule of law and control of corruption all impact the manufacturing subsector negatively and significantly. The panacea is not only within the matrix of optimal resource allocation, but must integrate the entire political and sociological process, involving governments at all levels, non-governmental organisations (NGOs) and faith-based groups.
撒哈拉以南非洲工业化的政治经济学:评价制度的作用
撒哈拉以南非洲最近见证了增长率的上升,但该大陆在很大程度上仍未工业化。主流实证诊断认为,物质和人力资本的缺乏是罪魁祸首。然而,随着资本越来越多地流入欧洲大陆,这样的论点已变得陈腐。在不断发展的文献中发现的一个可能的罪魁祸首是制度的质量。在很大程度上由单个国家的主流政治经济构成的制度的质量对非洲的工业表现有多大影响?本研究采用描述性和分析性的方法来回答这些问题。从池均值组面板自回归分布滞后(PMG-ARDL)和增强均值组(AMG)面板估计值中获得的估计强烈指出,制度是撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)工业化的祸根。具体而言,我们发现证据表明,从长远来看,监管质量、法治和腐败控制都会对制造业产生负面且显著的影响。灵丹妙药不仅在最优资源分配矩阵之内,而且必须整合整个政治和社会过程,包括各级政府、非政府组织和信仰团体。
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