GEOSPATIAL MODELING OF THE FLOOD RISK OF THE PRIPYAT RIVER WITHIN THE LYUBYAZ

Anatolii Kondratiuk
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Abstract

Geospatial modeling of the flood risk of the Pripyat river within the Lyubyaz water meter post is analyzed. An ensemble method was used, which demonstrated the effectiveness of flood modeling based on geographic information systems (GIS). The main examples of using flood modeling methods are presented. The world experience of flood modeling methods and their application for restoration of spaces in the structure of the settlement is analyzed. Their system-forming features and typological features have been determined within the Lyubyaz water meter post. The traditional system of flood modeling methods in the structure of the settlement consists of two main elements, they are forecasting and modeling and creation of forecast maps of flood probability. The flood hazard map was created by combining the flood probability map with the flood-causing factors. Flood probability maps have been constructed using the GIS-based ensemble method within the Lyubyaz water meter post.
柳比亚兹地区普里皮亚季河洪水风险的地理空间模拟
分析了柳比亚兹水表站内普里皮亚季河洪水风险的地理空间模型。结果表明,基于地理信息系统(GIS)的洪水建模方法是有效的。给出了洪水建模方法的主要应用实例。分析了世界上洪水建模方法的经验及其在沉降结构空间恢复中的应用。它们的系统形成特征和类型特征已在柳比亚兹水表站内确定。传统的沉降体结构洪水建模方法体系包括两个主要内容,即洪水概率预测建模和洪水概率预测图的绘制。将洪水概率图与致洪因子相结合,生成洪水灾害图。利用基于gis的集成方法在柳亚兹水表站内构建了洪水概率图。
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