THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MACROECONOMIC FACTORS AND CHILDHEALTH: AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS

Ümit Çirakli
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Abstract

The aim of this study is to reveal the relationship between macroeconomic factors and child health and also whether the changes in macroeconomic factors affect child health in Turkey. In this study, real GDP, unemployment, inflation, under-one-mortality and under-five mortality rates between 1974 and 2015 in Turkey were examined using the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) bounds testing approach. As a result of the study, it is concluded that economic growth in terms of real GDP has an adverse effect on child health. Also, it is concluded that economic crises have positive effects on children's health as well as negative effects. This study investigated the relationship between macro economy and child health. The results of the study provide evidence that economic growth may adversely affect child health. This study also provides some clues for policymakers to protect child health from negative effects of economic crises. It is suggested that maternity leaves and financial benefits should be increased to protect child health from the negative effects of economic fluctuation. It is also important to increase the food support to poor families in times of economic crisis.
宏观经济因素与儿童健康之间的关系:计量经济学分析
本研究的目的是揭示宏观经济因素与儿童健康之间的关系,以及宏观经济因素的变化是否影响土耳其的儿童健康。在本研究中,使用ARDL(自回归分布滞后)界限检验方法,对土耳其1974年至2015年间的实际GDP、失业率、通货膨胀率、1岁以下死亡率和5岁以下死亡率进行了检验。研究得出的结论是,按实际国内生产总值计算的经济增长对儿童健康有不利影响。此外,经济危机对儿童健康既有积极影响,也有消极影响。本研究探讨宏观经济与儿童健康的关系。研究结果提供了经济增长可能对儿童健康产生不利影响的证据。这项研究也为政策制定者提供了一些线索,以保护儿童健康免受经济危机的负面影响。建议增加产假和经济津贴,以保护儿童健康不受经济波动的负面影响。在经济危机时期,增加对贫困家庭的粮食支持也很重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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